NWS Forecast Discussion

000
FXUS66 KSGX 031603
AFDSGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
900 AM PDT FRI SEP 3 2010

.SYNOPSIS...HOT DAYS INLAND TODAY AND SATURDAY. CLEAR SKIES EXCEPT
FOR MARINE LAYER COASTAL LOW CLOUDS AND FOG DURING THE NIGHTS AND
MORNINGS. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL BRING MUCH COOLER
WEATHER WITH A DEEPER MARINE LAYER...AND BREEZY CONDITIONS IN THE
MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS AT TIMES NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA INCLUDING SAN DIEGO...
ORANGE...SOUTHWEST SAN BERNARDINO AND WEST RIVERSIDE COUNTIES.

CLEAR SKIES THIS MORNING EXCEPT FOR LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY DENSE FOG
IN THE COASTAL AREAS. THE MORNING SOUNDING FROM NKX SHOWED A STRONG
INVERSION AT ABOUT 900 FEET WITH WESTERLY WINDS AND DRY AIR ABOVE.
SFC PRESSURE GRADIENTS REMAIN ONSHORE TO THE E WITH ABOUT 5 MB
SAN-IPL.

A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ALOFT WILL CONTINUE HOT WEATHER INLAND
THROUGH SATURDAY. MAX TEMPS INLAND WILL BE ABOUT 7 TO 14 DEGREES
ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES TODAY AND SATURDAY. ONSHORE FLOW AND THE
MARINE INFLUENCE WILL MODERATE MAX TEMPS NEAR THE COAST. SUBSIDENCE
FROM THE HIGH ALOFT WILL KEEP THE MARINE LAYER SHALLOW THROUGH
SATURDAY. LOW CLOUDS AND LOCALLY DENSE FOG DURING THE NIGHTS AND
MORNINGS WILL MOSTLY BE CONFINED TO THE COASTAL AREAS. STRATUS MAY
BE SLOW TO CLEAR FROM THE BEACHES DUE TO THE STRONG INVERSION.

THE MARINE LAYER WILL DEEPEN A LITTLE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY
MORNING AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BEGINS TO WEAKEN IN RESPONSE TO A
LOW PRESSURE TROUGH MOVING INTO THE PAC NW. A COOLING TREND WILL
BEGIN SUNDAY WITH MAX TEMPS INLAND ABOUT 10 DEGREES LOWER THAN ON
SATURDAY.

A SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE EWD THROUGH THE MEAN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH INTO
THE NRN ROCKIES ON MONDAY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN
CONDITIONS...FOLLOWED BY A SECOND SHORTWAVE WHICH WILL DEEPEN THE
TROUGH OVER THE WEST COAST TUE THROUGH WED. THIS WILL BRING
CONSIDERABLE COOLING WITH TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES.
THE MARINE LAYER WILL DEEPEN TO THE EXTENT THAT LOW CLOUDS AND FOG
WILL EXTEND INLAND TO THE COASTAL SLOPES DURING THE NIGHTS AND
MORNINGS. AN INTERMITTENT COASTAL EDDY WILL DEVELOP. STRONGER
ONSHORE FLOW WILL CAUSE LOCAL BREEZY CONDITIONS IN THE MOUNTAINS AND
DESERTS AT TIMES.

SLIGHTLY WARMER THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS THE TROUGH MOVES E...ALTHOUGH
SOCAL WILL LIKELY REMAIN UNDER CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT.

&&

.AVIATION...
031500Z...SHALLOW MARINE LAYER ABOUT 800 FT. BASES AROUND 100 TO 300
FT MSL. WIDESPREAD VSBY ONE QUARTER MILE ALONG THE COAST THIS
MORNING. EXPECT VSBY TO MOSTLY 3-5SM IN HAZE AND BECOME MOSTLY
SCATTERED AT 500 FT MSL BY 16Z. EXPECT MARINE LAYER TO LOWER MORE
TONIGHT WITH DENSE FOG POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
SAT MORNING WITH FOG MOVING IN AROUND 09Z.

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...PG
AVIATION...WHITLOW

NWS SGX Office Area Forecast Discussion

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