NWS Forecast Discussion

000
FXUS66 KSGX 202026
AFDSGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
200 PM PDT SAT MAR 20 2010

.SYNOPSIS...FAIR AND WARM THIS WEEKEND UNDER HIGH PRESSURE AND WEAK
OFFSHORE FLOW. A LITTLE COOLER ON MONDAY...THEN ON TUESDAY A TROUGH
OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING MORE COOLING ALONG WITH INCREASING CLOUDS
AND GUSTY WINDS TO THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE
WILL REBUILD FOR MORE WARM DRY WEATHER WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...THEN
A LITTLE COOLER AGAIN NEXT FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA INCLUDING SAN DIEGO...
ORANGE...SOUTHWEST SAN BERNARDINO AND WEST RIVERSIDE COUNTIES.

MOSTLY CLEAR THIS AFTERNOON...EXCEPT FOR SOME SHALLOW MARINE LAYER
CLOUDS AND FOG LINGERING OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...AS WELL AS SOME
HIGH CLOUDS STREAMING OVER SOCAL FROM THE NW. SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENTS TRENDING OFFSHORE HAVE PRODUCED SOME GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS
IN THE RIVERSIDE AND SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS...BUT EXPECT THE
WINDS TO WEAKEN OVERNIGHT. THE OFFSHORE FLOW WILL ALSO PUSH THE
MARINE LAYER OUT TO SEA TONIGHT...BUT THE SHALLOW MARINE LAYER WITH
LOW CLOUDS AND FOG COULD RETURN TO THE COASTAL AREAS LATE TONIGHT
INTO SUNDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY IF THE COALTAL EDDY NOW DEVELOPING
PERSISTS THROUGH TONIGHT. SUNDAY WILL BE WARMER IN IN THE MTNS AND
DESERTS AS THE COLD AIR ADVECTION WEAKENS...AND COOLER WEST OF THE
MTNS AS THE UPPER RIDGE AND THE OFFSHORE FLOW BOTH WEAKEN ALLOWING A
STRONGER SEA BREEZE TO DEVELOP TOMORROW.

ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS WEAKENED BY A
SPLIT FLOW TROUGH THAT WILL BRING EVEN COOLER WEATHER MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. THE MODELS COME INTO FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT...WITH BOTH THE
ECM AND THE GFS INDICATING A COOL BREEZY DAY WITH A DEEPENING MARINE
LAYER ON TUESDAY.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...A WEAK UPPER RIDGE REBUILDS OVER
CALIFORNIA AS THE TROUGH MOVES EAST...BRINGING FAIR SKIES AND SOME
WARMING ON WED AND THU. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE TROUGH MOVES IN FROM
THE NW TO AGAIN BRING SOME CLOUDS AND LOWER TEMPS FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...
202130Z...SCT-BKN LOW CLOUDS BASED 300-500 FEET MSL WITH TOPS AROUND
800 FEET MSL OVER THE COASTAL WATERS OTHERWISE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH
UNRESTRICTED VISIBILITIES. AFTER 06Z SCT-BKN LOW CLOUDS OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS AND REACHING INLAND ABOUT 10 MILES...WITH BASES
300-500 FEET MSL AND TOPS AROUND 800 FEET MSL. AREAS OF VISIBILITIES
BELOW 3SM WITHIN 10 SM OF THE COASTLINE...AND LOCALLY 1/2SM IN DENSE
FOG. SMALL

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...PG
AVIATION...SMALL

NWS SGX Office Area Forecast Discussion

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